Latest COVID-19 models show Florida may be able to relax social distancing from June 1

Apr 18, 2020 in "The Walt Disney Company"

Posted: Saturday April 18, 2020 9:10am ET by WDWMAGIC Staff

The latest and widely used Healthdata.org COVID-19 projection for Florida shows that the state may be able to move into a containment strategy from June 1 and relax social distancing.

According to the latest data, Florida hit its peak 16 days ago and will see a decline through to mid-May, with COVID-19 infections dropping below 1 per 1 million people from June 1. At that point it may be possible to relax social distancing with containment strategies that include testing, contact tracing, isolation, and limiting gathering size. 

Of course, limiting gathering sizes is of great significance to Walt Disney World resuming operations. The parks have been closed since March 16 until further notice, although Disney has been accepting resort reservations from June 1.

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Heppenheimer7 minutes ago

To quote Paracelsus, "The dose makes the poison." Even water and oxygen are toxic in sufficient amounts. Without diving too far down a rabbit hole, most medications do no harm, for the majority of people, at doses within the therapeutic index. Most will be toxic at too high of a dose, but usually there isn't a linear relationship between dose and toxicity until a certain threshold is passed. For example, the liver is more than able to handle acetaminophen's potentially toxic intermediate until this system is overwhelmed, usually in doses of greater than 4000 mg in less than 24 hours. Not enough time to go into all the different mechanisms by which a drug can cause side effects, but I'll say this for vaccines. Even if an ingredient were able to cause toxicity in overdose, very few people receive more than a standard, safe dose of vaccine components throughout their life. Most of the more serious side effects of vaccines are due to either an allergic reaction to one of the ingredients (usually not life-threatening, especially if promptly treated) or an autoimmune reaction by the lymphocyte stem cells selected by the vaccine. The latter, thankfully, is exceptionally rare.

Heppenheimer18 minutes ago

The monoclonal antibody infusion has some very specific inclusion criteria. If you're not over 65, you need a qualifying diagnosis.

Club3455 minutes ago

The trade offs written in the paragraph before what you quoted and my subsequent posts.

disneygeek901 hour ago

There’s worse things in life than dealing with a little annoyance wearing a mask indoors at a theme park, but maybe that’s just me.

Chi841 hour ago

People are different. Not everyone feels the way you do about masks. As long as they follow the rules, they’re entitled to feel however they want, including being annoyed by masks. It doesn’t mean they’re “scared” by them. There’s only so much you can control when it comes to people other than yourself.

GoofGoof1 hour ago

Maybe I’m not understanding the issue, but the existing US vaccines (Pfizer, Moderna and JnJ) still work vs the delta variant. They have a lower efficacy level than vs the original strand of covid but the level is still very high. So the boosters were not suggested as a reaction to delta. My understanding is that Pfizer was requesting authorization for a booster dose due to the vaccines protection waning over time. That would have occurred with or without delta. The 3rd shot jump starts your immune system and helps extend the life of the protection from the vaccine. If a variant emerges that is truly vaccine resistant and it is deemed necessary to rebuild the vaccines that can be done (and designed very quickly), but it will take some time to test and ramp up manufacturing. So far none of the variants that has emerged warranted that reaction although the manufacturers have looked into it for each variant.

disneygeek901 hour ago

Normalizing to me is not seeing wearing masks in Disney any different than anywhere else in public, or making it a big deal. It’s reality. It’s now. Masks don’t have to be a scary and bad thing unless you make it out to be.

lazyboy97o1 hour ago

You tell us. They’re your words.

Club341 hour ago

That is all I was saying. Merely piggy-backing your point as it were. And it again, it may in fact be the right move.

Club341 hour ago

What other things?

SteveAZee1 hour ago

Exactly. Just saying that's a reason to not just go off adding additional vaccine doses until more information is available. Can't know everything, so it's risk/reward.

Club341 hour ago

First off, your insulting tone is completely unnecessary. The mRNA vaccine is the most widely taken is it not? And it is the most singularly focused intervention is it not? Targeting a specific aspect of original covid? And while antibody and other treatment exist, at least in my area and the hospital where I work, they are not widely used. Certainly not on a level of the vaccine and on a level that matches the number of infections. The vast number of covid positive patients are simply sent home. I don't know if that is purely a medical decision or if cost is a factor or both. So in summary we have mainly (is this a better word for you?) a strategy focusing on the spike protein. A vaccine that appears to be less effective than before (or there are certainly questions there) and leadership's answer is go with another dose of the same. Not saying it's not the right move just pointing out what is going on. Will the current building immunity rate of the populace suffice to successfully contain the pandemic or will continued variants make the vaccine more "porous" as time goes on? Or will something else happen that is an interplay between the two? Are these not legitimate questions?

lazyboy97o2 hours ago

Then what are “those other things”?

Club342 hours ago

Didn't claim any of that.